#Risk + Limits

#Disclaimers

  • Not financial advice — This tool is for research and education only
  • No guarantees — Past performance does not predict future results
  • Use at your own risk — You are responsible for your own decisions
  • No execution — The tool does not place trades; it only displays analytics

#System Limits

  • Data latency — 1–5 second delays; not suitable for high-frequency use
  • API rate limits — Binance, Polymarket, and RPC providers may throttle
  • Geo restrictions — Binance may be unavailable in some regions
  • Model uncertainty — σ is estimated from rolling history; no backtest calibration by default

#Robust Edge Safeguards

  • Only surfaces WATCH when robust_edge, robust_roi, time_mult, and kelly thresholds are met
  • Uses conservative p_low (90% one-sided) to discount model overconfidence
  • Time feasibility reduces edge when strike is far and time is short