#Overview

Polymarket BTC 15m Assistant is an analytics tool for Polymarket's Bitcoin Up or Down 15-minute prediction markets. It combines technical analysis, market microstructure, and a robust edge model to surface probabilistic insights—not trading advice.

#What It Does

• Live dashboard — Real-time view of model probabilities, market prices, and edge quality
• Robust edge scoring — Only flags opportunities when edge survives uncertainty, time feasibility, and execution cost adjustments
• Neutral framing — Uses PASS/WATCH language; no "trade now" or buy recommendations

#Key Concepts

• Model probability (p) — TA-derived probability of UP or DOWN
• Market price (q) — Polymarket implied probability
• Robust edge — edge_low × time_mult − exec_cost, only when criteria are met
• Time feasibility — Distance to strike vs expected move; low time remaining reduces effective edge

#Not Financial Advice

This tool is for research and education. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use at your own risk.