Decision intelligence for probabilistic markets.
Robust edge scoring that survives uncertainty, time feasibility, and execution cost.
Feasibility-adjusted edge (example)
Raw edge (p − q)+8.2%
− Uncertainty (90% one-sided)−2.1%
× Time multiplier× 72%
− Exec cost (fees, spread)−1.4%
Adjusted edge+3.0%
Core Insight
Raw edges ignore uncertainty, time feasibility, and execution cost. The system only surfaces a signal when edge survives a 90% one-sided discount, feasible time-to-close, and cost subtraction.
System
Polymarket, Chainlink, Binance → TA probability, regime, robust edge → PASS/WATCH. Analytics only; no execution.